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When to Stop? That Is the Question

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

    Abstract

    When to make a decision is a key question in decision making problems characterized by uncertainty. In this paper we deal with decision making in environments where the information arrives dynamically. We address the tradeoff between waiting and stopping strategies. On the one hand, waiting to obtain more information reduces the uncertainty, but it comes with a cost. On the other hand, stopping and making a decision based on an expected utility, decreases the cost of waiting, but the decision is made based on uncertain information. In this paper, we prove that computing the optimal time to make a decision that guarantees the optimal utility is NP-hard. We propose a pessimistic approximation that guarantees an optimal decision when the recommendation is to wait. We empirically evaluate our algorithm and show that the quality of the decision is near-optimal and much faster than the optimal algorithm.

    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationProceedings of the 25th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, AAAI 2011
    Pages1063-1068
    Number of pages6
    ISBN (Electronic)9781577355083
    StatePublished - 11 Aug 2011
    Event25th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, AAAI 2011 - San Francisco, United States
    Duration: 7 Aug 201111 Aug 2011

    Publication series

    NameProceedings of the 25th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, AAAI 2011

    Conference

    Conference25th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, AAAI 2011
    Country/TerritoryUnited States
    CitySan Francisco
    Period7/08/1111/08/11

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • Artificial Intelligence

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