The potential of dynamic physiological traits in young tomato plants to predict field-yield performance

To address the challenge of predicting tomato yields in the field, we used whole-plant functional phenotyping to evaluate water relations under well-irrigated and drought conditions. The genotypes tested are known to exhibit variability in their yields in wet and dry fields. The examined lines included two lines with recessive mutations that affect carotenoid biosynthesis, zeta z²⁰⁸³ and tangerine t³⁴⁰⁶, both isogenic to the processing tomato variety M82. The two mutant lines were reciprocally grafted onto M82, and multiple physiological characteristics were measured continuously, before, during and after drought treatment in the greenhouse. A comparative analysis of greenhouse and field yields showed that the whole-canopy stomatal conductance (g_sc) in the morning and cumulative transpiration (CT) were strongly correlated with field measurements of total yield (TY: r² = 0.9 and 0.77, respectively) and plant vegetative weight (PW: r² = 0.6 and 0.94, respectively). Furthermore, the minimum CT during drought and the rate of recovery when irrigation was resumed were both found to predict resilience.