Macroeconomic Prospects for China's Outward FDI

Ilan Alon, Tanya Molodtsova, Jian Zhang

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


We present evidence from panel data on overseas foreign direct investment (OFDI) by Chinese firms in 103 countries during 2003–2007. The data suggest that Chinese imports, unlike Chinese exports, stimulate investment in the country of origin. This article supports the theory that Chinese investment abroad is horizontal and designed to serve the Chinese local market (import platform investment). Estimates suggest that a 1% change in imports from China will lead to a 0.15% change in Chinese OFDI. We also find that an appreciation of the Chinese exchange rate will have a strong influence on firm entry decisions.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)16-40
Number of pages25
JournalTransnational Corporations Review
Issue number2
StatePublished - 1 Jun 2012
Externally publishedYes


  • China
  • OFDI
  • exchange rate
  • gravity model
  • international trade

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Business and International Management
  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics
  • Strategy and Management


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