TY - JOUR
T1 - Estimating the significance of a signal in a multi-dimensional search
AU - Vitells, Ofer
AU - Gross, Eilam
N1 - Minerva GesellschaftWe thank Jim Braun and Teresa Montaruli for their help in providing us the background simulation data of IceCube which was used to perform this analysis. One of us (E. G.) is obliged to the Minerva Gesellschaft for supporting this work.
PY - 2011/12
Y1 - 2011/12
N2 - In experiments that are aimed at detecting astrophysical sources such as neutrino telescopes, one usually performs a search over a continuous parameter space (e.g. the angular coordinates of the sky, and possibly time), looking for the most significant deviation from the background hypothesis. Such a procedure inherently involves a "look elsewhere effect", namely, the possibility for a signal-like fluctuation to appear anywhere within the search range. Correctly estimating the p-value of a given observation thus requires repeated simulations of the entire search, a procedure that may be prohibitively expansive in terms of CPU resources. Recent results from the theory of random fields provide powerful tools which may be used to alleviate this difficulty, in a wide range of applications. We review those results and discuss their implementation, with a detailed example applied for neutrino point source analysis in the IceCube experiment.
AB - In experiments that are aimed at detecting astrophysical sources such as neutrino telescopes, one usually performs a search over a continuous parameter space (e.g. the angular coordinates of the sky, and possibly time), looking for the most significant deviation from the background hypothesis. Such a procedure inherently involves a "look elsewhere effect", namely, the possibility for a signal-like fluctuation to appear anywhere within the search range. Correctly estimating the p-value of a given observation thus requires repeated simulations of the entire search, a procedure that may be prohibitively expansive in terms of CPU resources. Recent results from the theory of random fields provide powerful tools which may be used to alleviate this difficulty, in a wide range of applications. We review those results and discuss their implementation, with a detailed example applied for neutrino point source analysis in the IceCube experiment.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=80053340707&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.astropartphys.2011.08.005
DO - 10.1016/j.astropartphys.2011.08.005
M3 - مقالة
SN - 0927-6505
VL - 35
SP - 230
EP - 234
JO - Astroparticle Physics
JF - Astroparticle Physics
IS - 5
ER -