TY - GEN
T1 - Assessing the Threat of Major Outbreaks of Vector-Borne Diseases Under a Changing Climate
AU - Thompson, R. N.
AU - Thompson, M. J.
AU - Hurrell, J. W.
AU - Sun, L.
AU - Obolski, U.
N1 - Publisher Copyright: © The Editor(s).
PY - 2020
Y1 - 2020
N2 - Michael J. Thompson served as the Director of the High Altitude Observatory at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, olorado, where he was also a Senior Scientist. In September 2013, Michael became the Deputy Director and Chief Operating Officer of NCAR, enjoying a very close working relationship with Director Jim Hurrell. During this time, Michael oversaw an organisation conducting research in a range of fields, including his own topics of solar and stellar physics, as well as others such as atmospheric chemistry and climate science. At the same time, his son Robin was completing a PhD in mathematical epidemiology at the University of Cambridge, UK, after which he was awarded an independent Junior Research Fellowship at the University of Oxford. However, the work conducted at NCAR and Robin’s research have more overlap than might at first be expected. Here we present results from a collaboration that was set up following Michael’s untimely death in October 2018, between climate scientists (Jim Hurrell and Lantao Sun) and mathematical epidemiologists (Robin Thompson and Uri Obolski). Specifically, we propose a framework for studying the effect of climate variability and change on vector-borne disease risk. We introduce a new quantity—the Instantaneous Outbreak Risk (IOR)—which quantifies the risk posed by an invading pathogen accounting for the climatic conditions when that pathogen enters the population. We show how the IOR can be used to assess the threat from vector-borne diseases under a changing climate.
AB - Michael J. Thompson served as the Director of the High Altitude Observatory at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, olorado, where he was also a Senior Scientist. In September 2013, Michael became the Deputy Director and Chief Operating Officer of NCAR, enjoying a very close working relationship with Director Jim Hurrell. During this time, Michael oversaw an organisation conducting research in a range of fields, including his own topics of solar and stellar physics, as well as others such as atmospheric chemistry and climate science. At the same time, his son Robin was completing a PhD in mathematical epidemiology at the University of Cambridge, UK, after which he was awarded an independent Junior Research Fellowship at the University of Oxford. However, the work conducted at NCAR and Robin’s research have more overlap than might at first be expected. Here we present results from a collaboration that was set up following Michael’s untimely death in October 2018, between climate scientists (Jim Hurrell and Lantao Sun) and mathematical epidemiologists (Robin Thompson and Uri Obolski). Specifically, we propose a framework for studying the effect of climate variability and change on vector-borne disease risk. We introduce a new quantity—the Instantaneous Outbreak Risk (IOR)—which quantifies the risk posed by an invading pathogen accounting for the climatic conditions when that pathogen enters the population. We show how the IOR can be used to assess the threat from vector-borne diseases under a changing climate.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85133963838&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-55336-4_5
DO - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-55336-4_5
M3 - منشور من مؤتمر
SN - 9783030553357
T3 - Astrophysics and Space Science Proceedings
SP - 25
EP - 35
BT - Dynamics of the Sun and Stars - Honoring the Life and Work of Michael J. Thompson
A2 - Monteiro, Mário J. P. F. G.
A2 - García, Rafael A.
A2 - Christensen-Dalsgaard, Jørgen
A2 - McIntosh, Scott W.
T2 - Meeting celebrating Michael Thompson's seminal work on solar and stellar physics, 2019
Y2 - 24 September 2019 through 26 September 2019
ER -