Application of one-step method to parameter estimation in ODE models

Itai Dattner, Shota Gugushvili

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

In this paper, we study application of Le Cam's one-step method to parameter estimation in ordinary differential equation models. This computationally simple technique can serve as an alternative to numerical evaluation of the popular non-linear least squares estimator, which typically requires the use of a multistep iterative algorithm and repetitive numerical integration of the ordinary differential equation system. The one-step method starts from a preliminary n-consistent estimator of the parameter of interest and next turns it into an asymptotic (as the sample size n→∞) equivalent of the least squares estimator through a numerically straightforward procedure. We demonstrate performance of the one-step estimator via extensive simulations and real data examples. The method enables the researcher to obtain both point and interval estimates. The preliminary n-consistent estimator that we use depends on non-parametric smoothing, and we provide a data-driven methodology for choosing its tuning parameter and support it by theory. An easy implementation scheme of the one-step method for practical use is pointed out.

Original languageAmerican English
Pages (from-to)126-156
Number of pages31
JournalStatistica Neerlandica
Volume72
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - May 2018

Keywords

  • 62G20
  • Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm
  • Secondary: 62G08
  • integral estimator
  • non-linear least squares
  • one-step estimator.AMS 2000 classifications: Primary: 62F12
  • ordinary differential equations
  • smooth and match estimator

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Statistics and Probability
  • Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty

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